变量都是平稳的。一开始阶数定的3,后来发现有自相关,于是就一直增加阶数。
五阶的时候结果是这样的:
. varlmar
Lagrange-multiplier test
+--------------------------------------+
| lag | chi2 df Prob > chi2 |
|------+-------------------------------|
| 1 | 14.4686 9 0.10661 |
| 2 | 24.4185 9 0.00369 |
+--------------------------------------+
H0: no autocorrelation at lag order
但是直到12阶,lag的两个值才全部显著:
. varlmar
Lagrange-multiplier test
+--------------------------------------+
| lag | chi2 df Prob > chi2 |
|------+-------------------------------|
| 1 | 15.0767 9 0.08885 |
| 2 | 8.8375 9 0.45240 |
+--------------------------------------+
H0: no autocorrelation at lag order
请问各位大佬,我到底要选哪个?急急急