The impact of fire risk on slash pine (Pinus elliottii) plantations managed for the joint production of carbon and timber benefits was investigated. A Hartman model for determining the optimal rotation age and Land Expectation Value (LEV) for a stand with both carbon and timber benefits was extended to include the risk of fire. Information from this model was then used to determine optimal rotation age, LEV, carbon supply and timber supply as a function of fire risk and the price of carbon. The results indicate that fire risk reduces all of these variables and this reduction is greater for higher carbon prices. These results suggest that landowner's would respond less to a carbon market when the level of fire risk is relatively high.

研究了火灾风险对为联合生产碳和木材效益而管理的斜面松人工林的影响。哈特曼模型用于确定既有碳效益又有木材效益的林地的最佳轮作年龄和土地期望值(LEV)，该模型已扩展到包括火灾风险。然后利用该模型的信息确定最优轮转年龄、LEV、碳供应和木材供应作为火灾风险和碳价格的函数。结果表明，火灾风险降低了所有这些变量，并且这种降低在较高的碳价格下更大。这些结果表明，当火灾风险水平相对较高时，土地所有者对碳市场的反应较弱。