Eviews8.0做Johansen面板协整检验,共4个地区17年的数据,变量有3个。输出结果如下,这个要怎么看,到底变量之间存不存在协整关系呢?着急,求助。
Johansen Fisher Panel Cointegration Test
| Series: X Y Z | |
| Date: 11/10/18 Time: 13:09 |
| Sample: 2000 2016 | |
| Included observations: 68 |
| Trend assumption: Linear deterministic trend |
| Lags interval (in first differences): 0 0 |
| Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace and Maximum Eigenvalue) |
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| Hypothesized | Fisher Stat.* | | Fisher Stat.* | |
| No. of CE(s) | (from trace test) | Prob. | (from max-eigen test) | Prob. |
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| None | 28.19 | 0.0004 | 25.54 | 0.0013 |
| At most 1 | 10.91 | 0.2066 | 10.70 | 0.2194 |
| At most 2 | 8.177 | 0.4164 | 8.177 | 0.4164 |
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| Individual cross section results | | |
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| | Trace Test | | Max-Eign Test | |
| Cross Section | Statistics | Prob.** | Statistics | Prob.** |
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| Hypothesis of no cointegration | | |
| 1 | 35.7434 | 0.0092 | 21.5215 | 0.0441 |
| 2 | 37.8191 | 0.0048 | 28.8314 | 0.0034 |
| 3 | 27.5832 | 0.0882 | 16.0652 | 0.2211 |
| 4 | 24.1658 | 0.1935 | 19.3894 | 0.0861 |
| Hypothesis of at most 1 cointegration relationship | |
| 1 | 14.2220 | 0.0770 | 13.7769 | 0.0596 |
| 2 | 8.9877 | 0.3665 | 8.3489 | 0.3444 |
| 3 | 11.5180 | 0.1816 | 8.8822 | 0.2961 |
| 4 | 4.7763 | 0.8321 | 4.6745 | 0.7822 |
| Hypothesis of at most 2 cointegration relationship | |
| 1 | 0.4450 | 0.5047 | 0.4450 | 0.5047 |
| 2 | 0.6388 | 0.4241 | 0.6388 | 0.4241 |
| 3 | 2.6358 | 0.1045 | 2.6358 | 0.1045 |
| 4 | 0.1019 | 0.7496 | 0.1019 | 0.7496 |
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| **MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values | |