英文文献:Asia's Evolving Role in Global Wine Markets-亚洲在全球葡萄酒市场中不断变化的角色
英文文献作者:Kym Anderson,Glyn Wittwer
英文文献摘要:
Over the past decade Hong Kong and China have become far more important to the world's wine markets, while Southeast Asia's imports of fine wine continue to grow steadily. This paper reviews recent developments in the light of comparative advantage theory before drawing on a model of global wine markets to project developments in Asia and elsewhere over the next five years under various economic growth, real exchange rate, and policy assumptions. It concludes that China is set to continue to be by far the most dominant player in Asia, and to change global markets for wines dramatically, just as it has been doing and will continue to do for so many other products.
过去10年,香港和中国内地对世界葡萄酒市场的重要性大大提高,而东南亚的高档葡萄酒进口继续稳步增长。本文根据比较优势理论回顾了最近的发展,然后利用全球葡萄酒市场模型来预测未来五年在不同经济增长、实际汇率和政策假设下亚洲和其他地区的发展。它得出的结论是,到目前为止,中国仍将是亚洲市场上最具主导地位的市场,并将极大地改变全球葡萄酒市场,就像中国过去所做的以及将继续做的那样。