英文文献:Labour costs, informal economy and labor law reforms in Bolivia-玻利维亚的劳动力成本、非正规经济和劳动法改革
英文文献作者:Soraya Roman
英文文献摘要:
Develops and sets a general equilibrium dynamic and stochastic model with 2 sectors, formal and informal, for the economy in Bolivia. The goal of the model is to evaluate the impact of recent labor market reforms on employment, wages and the product. Specifically, analyzes the effect of a tax increase in employment which serves for the creation of a semi - contributory fund with a redistributive character that is defined in the New Pension Law. On the other hand, analyzes the effect of an increase in firing and hiring costs, defined in the draft Labor Code. The results indicate that in the first case, the reform increases the informality, which causes decrease in the long term variations of the number of contributors to the new background, affecting its sustainability. In the second case, the reform reduces the mobility of formal and informal employment within each sector and across sectors. This increases the time required for product recovery in case of a recession or respond in case of an expansion.
建立并建立玻利维亚经济的一般均衡动态随机模型,包括正式和非正式两个部门。该模型的目标是评估近期劳动力市场改革对就业、工资和产品的影响。具体地,分析了税收增加对就业的影响,这有助于创建新的养老金法中定义的具有再分配特征的半缴款基金。另一方面,分析了劳动法草案中规定的解雇和雇佣成本增加的影响。结果表明,在第一种情况下,改革增加了非正式性,导致对新背景的贡献者数量的长期变化减少,影响了其可持续性。在第二种情况下,改革减少了每个部门内和各部门之间正式和非正式就业的流动性。这增加了在衰退时产品恢复所需的时间,或者在扩张时做出反应所需的时间。