Hypothesized |
| Trace | 5 Percent | 1 Percent |
No. of CE(s) | Eigenvalue | Statistic | Critical Value | Critical Value |
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None * | 0.023583 | 16.36175 | 15.41 | 20.04 |
At most 1 * | 0.008754 | 4.404927 | 3.76 | 6.65 |
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Trace test indicates 2 cointegrating equation(s) at the 5% level |
Trace test indicates no cointegration at the 1% level |
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*(**) denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 5%(1%) level |
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Hypothesized |
| Max-Eigen | 5 Percent | 1 Percent |
No. of CE(s) | Eigenvalue | Statistic | Critical Value | Critical Value |
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None | 0.023583 | 11.95682 | 14.07 | 18.63 |
At most 1 * | 0.008754 | 4.404927 | 3.76 | 6.65 |
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Max-eigenvalue test indicates no cointegration at both 5% and 1% levels |
*(**) denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 5%(1%) level |
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Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I): |
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RMBPUSD | STOCKB |
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0.167170 | 0.028192 |
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-0.055285 | -0.020450 |
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Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha): |
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D(RMBPUSD) | 0.041099 | 0.046015 |
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D(STOCKB) | -0.728759 | 0.203484 |
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1 Cointegrating Equation(s): | Log likelihood | -1951.965 |
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Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses) |
RMBPUSD | STOCKB |
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1.000000 | 0.168640 |
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| (0.01835) |
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Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses) |
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D(RMBPUSD) | 0.006870 |
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| (0.00421) |
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D(STOCKB) | -0.121826 |
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| (0.03900) |
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这个结果说明有两个协整方程吧?那么协整方程如何得出呢?