英文文献：Evaluating The Use Of Futures Prices To Forecast The Farm Level U.S. Corn Price-评估使用期货价格来预测美国玉米的农场价格水平
英文文献作者：Hoffman, Linwood A.,Beachler, Michael
英文文献摘要：
A model is developed using bases, marketing weights, and a composite of monthly futures and cash prices to forecast a season-average U.S. farm price for corn. Forecast accuracy measures include the mean absolute percentage error and Theil's U-statistic. Futures forecasts are compared with a na?ve forecast and WASDE projections. Futures price forecasts are timely and reliable.

该模型使用基数、市场权重、月度期货价格和现金价格的综合数据来预测美国玉米季节平均农产品价格。预测准确度的衡量标准包括平均绝对百分比误差和泰尔的u统计量。期货预测与天真的预测和WASDE预测进行比较。期货价格预测及时可靠。