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2005-09-06
英文文献:Assessing The Impacts Of Global Warming In The Southeast Us Agriculture Using Optimization And Economic Forecasting Procedure
英文文献作者:Paudel, Krishna P.,Hatch, L. Upton
英文文献摘要:
We used a memory shortening transformation method to forecast the future prices of the seven selected commodities in the Southeast USA. These forecasted prices were used to find the optimal crop selection in a model farm in a representative county of each of the ten states in the Southeast US under three likely climate change scenarios. It is found that the Hadley climate change scenario may be benign compared to Hot and Very Hot Scenarios.
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