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2005-09-15
英文文献:The Causes And Consequences Of Rural Immigrant Population Growth, 1950-1990-农村移民人口增长的原因和后果,1950-1990年
英文文献作者:Orazem, Peter F.,Wohlgemuth, Darin,Huang, Tzu-Ling
英文文献摘要:
This study tests whether evidence supports the hypothesis that rural immigrant populations are more sensitive to relative returns to human capital and living costs will be more elastic than those of native-born citizens. An empirically tractable model of incentive to migrate is developed following work of Huang et al (2001). The model is tested using Census data from 1950-1990 for a sample of rural counties from 18 Midwest and South central states. Preliminary results show that residential decisions of the rural foreign-born population are more sensitive to relative returns to human capital and relative costs of living than are native-born populations. Consequently, rural areas can attract immigrants if they offer earnings opportunities relative to housing costs that are superior to urban markets. Fears that immigrants will form a pocket of rural unemployed appear to be unfounded--immigrants will leave if rural job opportunities are not present.

本研究检验证据是否支持以下假设:农村移民人口对人力资本的相对回报更为敏感,而生活成本将比本地出生的公民更具弹性。在Huang等人(2001)的工作之后,我们开发了一个具有经验可操控性的移民激励模型。该模型使用1950-1990年的人口普查数据对18个中西部和中南部州的农村县样本进行了检验。初步结果表明,农村外来人口的居住决策对人力资本的相对回报和相对生活成本比本土人口更敏感。因此,如果农村地区提供的收入机会相对于住房成本高于城市市场,就能吸引移民。担心移民会在农村造成失业似乎是没有根据的——如果农村没有工作机会,移民就会离开。
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