英文文献:The strategies of economic research - An empirical study-经济研究的策略——实证研究
英文文献作者:Martin Paldam
英文文献摘要:
The paper analyzes the structure of strategies of economic research on a sample of all regular research papers in 10 general interest journals every 5th year from 1997 to 2017. It is 3,415 papers, with an annual upward trend of 3.3%. I have classified the papers into eight categories: The fraction in theory and empirics are almost equal large. Most empiric papers use the classic strategy, which derives an operational model from theory and run regressions. Several trends are highly significant - notably two main ones: The fraction of theoretical papers has fallen by 26 pp (percentage points), while the fraction of papers using the classic strategy has increased by 15 pp. Many papers using the classic strategy have been analyzed using meta-analysis, which show that the typical paper exaggerate the results reported substantially. There is no reason to believe that other strategies have smaller problems.
摘要本文以1997 - 2017年每5年在10种一般兴趣期刊上发表的常规研究论文为样本,分析了经济研究策略的结构。论文3415篇,年均增长3.3%。我把论文分为八类:理论和经验的比例几乎一样大。大多数经验主义论文使用经典策略,从理论中衍生出操作模型,并进行回归分析。几个趋势非常重要——尤其是两个主要的:理论论文的分数下降了26页(百分比),而论文的分数使用经典的策略增加了15页。许多论文分析了使用经典的策略使用荟萃分析,结果表明典型的纸夸大大幅报道。我们没有理由相信其他战略存在较小的问题。