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论坛 计量经济学与统计论坛 五区 计量经济学与统计软件
3854 0
2009-09-13
Dear Lister

After running my Sales Model Using Expert Modeller in SPSS 17.0, I got the following warnig: The forecast table is not created because no forecasts could be calculated. Could you please show me how to fixed this issue. Thanks!


------------------------------------
PREDICT THRU END.
* Time Series Modeler.
TSMODEL
   /MODELSUMMARY  PRINT=[MODELFIT RESIDACF RESIDPACF]
   /MODELSTATISTICS  DISPLAY=YES MODELFIT=[ SRSQUARE RSQUARE RMSE MAPE MAE MAXAPE MAXAE NORMBIC]
   /MODELDETAILS  PRINT=[ PARAMETERS RESIDACF RESIDPACF FORECASTS]
   /SERIESPLOT OBSERVED FORECAST
   /OUTPUTFILTER DISPLAY=ALLMODELS
   /AUXILIARY  CILEVEL=95 MAXACFLAGS=24
   /MISSING USERMISSING=EXCLUDE
   /MODEL DEPENDENT=Sales
      PREFIX='Model'
   /EXPERTMODELER TYPE=[ARIMA EXSMOOTH] TRYSEASONAL=YES
   /AUTOOUTLIER  DETECT=OFF.
     Model Fit

Fit StatisticMeanSEMinimumMaximumPercentile
5102550759095
Stationary R-squared.499..499.499.499.499.499.499.499.499.499
R-squared.873..873.873.873.873.873.873.873.873.873
RMSE152718.618.152718.618152718.618152718.618152718.618152718.618152718.618152718.618152718.618152718.618
MAPE8.301.8.3018.3018.3018.3018.3018.3018.3018.3018.301
MaxAPE107.801.107.801107.801107.801107.801107.801107.801107.801107.801107.801
MAE94374.140.94374.14094374.14094374.14094374.14094374.14094374.14094374.14094374.14094374.140
MaxAE854134.210.854134.210854134.210854134.210854134.210854134.210854134.210854134.210854134.210854134.210
Normalized BIC23.974.23.97423.97423.97423.97423.97423.97423.97423.97423.974


Model Statistics
ModelNumber of PredictorsModel Fit statisticsLjung-Box Q(18)Number of Outliers
Stationary R-squaredStatisticsDFSig.
Sales-Model_10.49928.90916.0250
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