| MAO AND LINCOLN http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/FC31Ad02.html Henry C K Liu is chairman of the New York-based Liu Investment Group. |
But the figure amounting to tens of millions ... [lacks] any historical basis. Often it is argued that at the censuses of the 1960s "between 17 and 29 millions of Chinese" appeared to be missing, in comparison with the official census figures from the 1950s. But these calculations are lacking any semblance of reliability. At my first visit to China, in August 1957, I had asked to get the opportunity to meet two outstanding Chinese social scientists: Fei Xiao-tung, the sociologist, and Chen Ta, the demographer. I could not meet either of them, because they were both seriously criticized at that time as rightists; but I was allowed a visit by Pang Zenian, a Marxist philosopher who knew about the problems of both scholars. Chen Ta was criticized because he had attacked the pretended 1953 census. In the past he had organized censuses, and he could not believe that suddenly, within a rather short period, the total population of China had risen from 450 [million] to 600 million, as had been officially claimed by the Chinese authorities after the 1953 census. He would have [liked] to organize a scientifically well-founded census himself, instead of an assessment largely based on regional random samples as had happened in 1953. According to him, the method followed in that year was unscientific.Globalization causes more death, suffering than Mao
For that matter, a Chinese expert of demography, Dr Ping-ti Ho, professor of history at the University of Chicago, in a book titled Studies on the Population of China, 1368-1953, Harvard East Asian Studies No 4, 1959, also mentioned numerous "flaws" in the 1953 census: "All in all, therefore, the nationwide enumeration of 1953 was not a census in the technical definition of the term"; the separate provincial figures show indeed an unbelievable increase of some 30 percent in the period 1947-1953, a period of heavy revolutionary struggle. (p 93-94) My conclusion is that the claim that in the 1960s a number between 17 [million] and 29 million people was "missing" is worthless if there was never any certainty about the 600 millions of Chinese. Most probably these "missing people" did not starve in the calamity years 1960-61, but in fact have never existed.
Chinese Success Story Chokes on Its Own Growth
Ryan Pyle for The New York Times
In Shenzhen workers’ dormitories, frustration with hard labor, merciless factory bosses, low pay and miserable living conditions is palpable.
SHENZHEN,
Articles in this series are examining the phenomenal growth of Shenzhen from a sleepy fishing village near
Then Ms. Zhang, a 20-year-old migrant laborer, lost her identity card and was shocked to find that no factory would hire her without a bribe that she could not afford. Desperate for money, she ended up working in a grimy two-room massage parlor in a congested alley here, where she has sex with four or five men each day.
“I was terrified at first, and I was really embarrassed not even knowing how to use a condom,” said the soft-spoken young woman, casting her eyes downward as she spoke. “I didn’t have any choice, though. Little by little, you have to get used to it.”
Few cities anywhere have created wealth faster than Shenzhen, but the costs of its phenomenal success stare out from every corner: environmental destruction, soaring crime rates and the disillusionment and degradation of its vast force of migrant workers, Ms. Zhang among them.
Shenzhen was a sleepy fishing village in the Pearl River delta, next to
Shenzhen owed its success to a simple formula of cheap land, eager, compliant labor and lax environmental rules that attracted legions of foreign investors who built export-based manufacturing industries. With 7 million migrant workers in an overall population of about 12 million — compared with Shanghai’s 2 to 3 million migrants out of a population of 18 million — Shenzhen became the literal and symbolic heart of the Chinese economic miracle.
Now, to other cities in
While grueling labor conditions exist in many parts of
The tough working conditions, in turn, have helped spawn one of the most important labor developments in
Among Chinese economic planners, Shenzhen’s recipe is increasingly seen as all but irrelevant: too harsh, too wasteful, too polluted, too dependent on the churning, ceaseless turnover of migrant labor.
“This path is now a dead end,” said Zhao Xiao, an economist and former adviser to the Chinese State Council, or cabinet. After cataloging the city’s problems, he said, “Governments can’t count on the beauty of investment covering up 100 other kinds of ugliness.”
As the limits of the Shenzhen model have grown more and more apparent, other cities in
“Some inland cities have started to provide migrants social security, including pension and other insurance,” said Wang Chunguang, an expert in class mobility at the
Migrants do still arrive here, of course, drawn by the promise of work and undaunted by stories of the difficult life that awaits them. Some, like Ms. Zhang, who come here for the $100-a-month sweatshop salaries, end up trapped, literally too poor to leave. But many others quickly become disillusioned and return home.
Increasingly short of workers, factories recently have increased assembly-line wages by as much as 20 percent. But even so, critics say, Shenzhen’s boom has spread little wealth.
While the city is dependent on migrant labor to keep its factories running, onerous residency rules discourage migrants from settling here permanently and make it difficult for them to obtain public services from education to health care.
“The government has evaded its responsibilities toward migrant workers,” Jin Cheng, a member of an influential local civic forum, Interhoo, said bluntly.
The resulting rootlessness has fed a wave of crime of a sort hardly ever seen elsewhere in
Although the city does not publish crime data, the Southern Metropolitan News, one of the most reputable Chinese newspapers, reported that there were 18,000 robberies in 2004 in Baoan, one of six districts in Shenzhen. By comparison, in
The New York Times
Near the gates of Foxconn, a huge electronics assembly plant that is one of the city of
Asked if it was their day off, one of them, a 20-year-old, explained that he had been fired when he developed lesions on his arms from exposure to paints and asked to switch jobs. Now, he said, he and his friends survived by “beating people up for a living.”
In addition to shakedown crews like this one, prostitution, usually thinly disguised in karaoke joints and massage parlors, but increasingly in the open, ranks as one of the city’s biggest industries. In Shenzhen’s blue-collar neighborhoods, thick with fetid workers’ dormitories, the frustration with hard labor, merciless factory bosses, low pay and miserable living conditions is palpable.
“I’ve changed jobs many times,” said one man, a onetime factory floor manager, who was lying on a bunk bed in a stiflingly hot room jammed with other workers. “The pressure is very high in these jobs. They don’t give you weekends, or breaks — especially the Taiwanese companies.”
Migrant workers describe the city’s labor market as a predatory environment filled with unscrupulous job brokers, fraudulent training courses and a multitude of other scams aimed at cheating the most disadvantaged part of the population.
Yu Di, a 19-year-old from
In the room next door, Zhou Hailin, 20, who grew up in Guang’an, the hometown of Deng Xiaoping, seems better off. Mr. Zhou, who came to the city four years ago, earns about $120 a month as a machinist in the same watch factory.
To do so, though, he must work eight-hour shifts, plus three or four hours of mandatory overtime, six days a week. A typical workday, he said, ends at 10:30 p.m., when he often goes to visit a sister who works in another factory nearby.
Asked if he ever visited downtown Shenzhen, which bristles with skyscrapers and shopping malls, he said he had never had time. “I have to work every day,” Mr. Zhou said. “All the factory jobs here are the same. That’s what it’s like being a migrant laborer.”
Mr. Zhou calmly accepts his lot, but for many the merciless grind of factory life is too much. Their health failing, or their dreams of amassing sizable savings broken, these workers opt to return home to simpler lives in the countryside.
“Shenzhen may seem prosperous,” a worker said, sitting in his bunk in a steamy dormitory, “but it’s a desperate place.”
thank you very much ,I like to read these information with improving my english!
By SCOTT McDONALD
The Associated Press
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/19/AR2007041900344_2.html
The pledge by the State Council came after the government announced that inflation rose to its highest level in more than two years.
"If this type of fast growth continues, there is the possibility of shifting from fast growth to overheating. There is that risk," Li Xiaochao, spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics, told a news conference.
Worries that Chinese authorities would raise interest rates to curb growth in
The consumer price index in March rose 3.3 percent, data showed, above the government's 3 percent target. And fixed-asset investment countrywide grew a robust 23.7 percent during March.
A statement posted on the council's Web site following a meeting chaired by Premier Wen Jiabao said the government will work to "reduce the country's large trade surplus, limit rapid growth in house prices and maintain basic price stability."
Asian markets fell ahead of the report's release in anticipation that the numbers would be stronger than expected and prompt
As it turned out, quarterly gross domestic product did beat the forecast for 10.3 percent growth, according a poll of economists by Dow Jones Newswires. It was the highest growth rate since the second quarter of last year, when growth reached 11.5 percent, the fastest in a decade.
While
Concerns about inflation are likely to grow after CPI rose to its highest since hitting 3.9 percent in February 2005.
Inflation in the first quarter was 2.7 percent, up 1.5 points compared with the same period last year.
By SCOTT McDONALD
The Associated Press
The pledge by the State Council came after the government announced that inflation rose to its highest level in more than two years.
"If this type of fast growth continues, there is the possibility of shifting from fast growth to overheating. There is that risk," Li Xiaochao, spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics, told a news conference.
Worries that Chinese authorities would raise interest rates to curb growth in
The consumer price index in March rose 3.3 percent, data showed, above the government's 3 percent target. And fixed-asset investment countrywide grew a robust 23.7 percent during March.
A statement posted on the council's Web site following a meeting chaired by Premier Wen Jiabao said the government will work to "reduce the country's large trade surplus, limit rapid growth in house prices and maintain basic price stability."
Asian markets fell ahead of the report's release in anticipation that the numbers would be stronger than expected and prompt
As it turned out, quarterly gross domestic product did beat the forecast for 10.3 percent growth, according a poll of economists by Dow Jones Newswires. It was the highest growth rate since the second quarter of last year, when growth reached 11.5 percent, the fastest in a decade.
While
Concerns about inflation are likely to grow after CPI rose to its highest since hitting 3.9 percent in February 2005.
Inflation in the first quarter was 2.7 percent, up 1.5 points compared with the same period last year.
China's economy surges, more tightening seen
By Eadie Chen and Tamora Vidaillet
Reuters
The growth rate announced on Thursday was broadly in line with the 11.0 percent forecast by economists in a Reuters poll but it marked an acceleration from 10.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2006.
Global stocks and the yen sank as the data exacerbated expectations of a rate rise. Chinese stocks lost 4.5 percent, the sharpest drop since February 27 when the Shanghai Composite Index (.SSEC) lost 9 percent, roiling world markets. (Global Markets report (MARKETS/EU).
Premier Wen Jiabao followed the release with a prompt warning on the need for
"We need to prevent the economy from shifting from relatively fast growth to a state of overheating and to prevent big ups and downs," Wen said in a statement on the government's Web site.
"We will work hard to keep basic stability in the overall level of prices," he told a regular cabinet meeting.
The strong data prompted a number of economists to predict that the central bank would take further tightening steps soon.
The People's Bank of
"This is very strong. It means more tightening. I think there will be at least two more rate hikes and the reserve ratio will have to go up to 12 percent from 10.5 percent," said Chris Leung,
STOCK MARKET DOWN
The National Bureau of Statistics said that annual consumer price inflation reached 3.3 percent in March, the first time it has gone above 3 percent -- the central bank's comfort level -- in more than two years.
The figures prompted some analysts to raise their forecasts for full-year growth.
Standard Chartered increased its 2007 GDP growth forecast to 10.6 percent from 9.6 percent. JPMorgan upped its forecast to 10.8 percent from 10.0 percent.
"Another big number proves that
Statistics agency spokesman Li Xiaochao told reporters that the economy might be on its way towards overheating, potentially heralding further tightening.
"Whether we need to raise interest rates depends on whether our economy will turn to overheating from fairly fast. If this happens, interest rates need to be raised. If this does not happen, then there is no need to raise them," Li said.
He also said that
But to some the figures, which included a pick-up in annual growth in urban fixed-asset investment to 26.8 percent in March from 23.4 percent in the first two months, already clearly signaled that growth was running too fast.
"I think it is overheating. Today they announced 11.1 percent first quarter growth. This is a sign of not controlling the economy well," Hiroshi Watanabe,
YUAN IN FOCUS
European Commission spokeswoman Amelia Torres, on the other hand, told reporters in
Detailed figures suggested that was happening. Retail sales were up an annual 15.3 percent in March, accelerating from 14.7 percent in January-February and 13.7 percent in all of 2006.
However, many economists say that to really trim the massive trade surplus, which doubled from a year earlier in the first three months to $46.4 billion, it needs to let the yuan (CNY=CFXS) appreciate more quickly.
The yuan on Thursday breached the psychologically important 7.7200 mark against the dollar for the first time since the central bank revalued it by 2.1 percent and decoupled it from a dollar peg in July 2005. It has now appreciated nearly 5.1 percent since then.
He Sheng, an analyst with Changjiang Securities in
"Yuan appreciation will pace up to show the government's determination in addressing the trade surplus, even though the exchange rate movement may have no immediate effect on trade," He said.
(Additional reporting by Zhou Xin, Langi Chiang, Susan Fenton, Kevin Yao, Lu Jianxin, William Schomberg in Brussels and Will Rasmussen in Abu Dhabi)
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