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1622 1
2011-01-24
Firstly appologize for using English. My computer is extremely unreliable.

I got a question which has been confused me for a long time.

The question is to calculate the 95% confidence interval for a curve. I have already learnt how to calculate for a straight line.

The curve could be cumulative distribution funciton, Weibull distribution, log-odds, etc.

For example, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) could be expressed as below:
Y = 1/2 * {1 + erf [(X-mean) / (sd * 2^0.5)]}
where ‘erf ’ is called error function, ‘mean’ and ‘sd’ are the mean value and standard deviation of X, respectively. Y is distributed normally from 0 to 1.

If ‘mean’ and ‘sd’ are known, by varying the value of X we could obtain a series values of Y. Then you could plot a typical CDF graph.


Then I need to calculate the 95% confidence intervals of this plotted curve. Could someone tell me how to do it?

I know it could be solved using MATLAB, Minitab, etc. But I want to know the algorithm.

Thank you.
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2011-1-25 09:24:21
对曲线而言,是无所谓置信区间的
你说的置信区间是针对于分布而言的,比如说对正态分布的预测值而言,在OLS的假设条件下,这一列的预测值是服从正态分布的,所以可以计算出来一个95%预测区间,所以你要做的是计算随机变量的分布
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