四、经典论文类:
Frenkel, J. A. and R. Levich, "Covered Interest Arbitrage: Un-exploited Profits?" J. P. E. 83 (1975): 325-338.
Clinton, K. “Transaction Costs and Covered Interest Arbitrage: Theory and Evidence,” J. P. E. 96 (1988): 358-370.
Blenman, L. P. "A Model of Covered Interest Arbitrage under Market Segmentation," J. M. C. B. Vol 23, no.4 (1991): 706-717.
Meredith, Guy and Yue Ma, “The Forward Premium Puzzle Revisited,” IMF Working ****** WP/02/28 (2002).
Engel, Charles, “The Forward Discount Anomaly and The Risk Premium: A Survey of Recent Evidence,” NBER Working ****** 5312, October 1995. Also Journal of Empirical Finance 3, (1996) : 123~192.
Taylor , Mark T. and Elena T. Branson, “Asymmetric Arbitrage and Default Premiums between the U.S. and Russian Markets,” IMF Staff ******s, Vol. 51, no. 2 (2004): 257~275.
Johnson, H. “Elasticity, Absorption, Keynesian Multiplier, Keynesian Policy and Monetary Approached to Devaluation Theory: A ****** Geometric Exposition,” A. E. R. 66, no.3 (1976) : 448-452
*Dutton, M. and J. Strauss "Co-integration Tests of Purchasing Power Parity: The Impact of Non-traded Goods," J. I. M. F. Vol. 16 N. 3 (1997): 433-444.
MacDonald, R. and M. Taylor "The Monetary Approach to the Exchange Rate," IMF Staff ******s, vol. 40, no. 1 (1993): 89-107.
Edison, H., Gagnon, J. and W. Melick, "Understanding the Empirical Literature on Purchasing Power Parity: The Post-Bretton Woods Era," J. I. M. F., Vol. 16, N. 1 (1997):1-18.
Branson, W. H. "Exchange-Rate Dynamics and Monetary Policy," in: Inflation and Employment in Open Economies, edited by A. Lindbeck. North-Holland, 1979.
Gulfason, T. and Helliwell, J. "A Synthesis of Keynesian, Monetary, and Portfolio Approaches to Flexible Exchange Rates," Econ . Jour . 93 (Dec. 1983): 820- 831.
Henderson, D. W. and Rogoff, K. "Negative Net Foreign Asset Positions and Stability in A World Portfolio Balance Model," J . I . E. 13 (1982): 85-104.
Dornbusch, R. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics, " J. P. E. 84 (1976): 1161-1176.
Frenkel, J. A. and Rodriguez, C. A. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Overshooting Hypothesis," IMF Staff ******s 29, No.1 (March 1982): 1-30.
Engel, C. and Flood, R. "Exchange Rate Dynamics, Sticky Prices and the Current Account," J. M. C. B.(Aug. 1985).
Papell, D. "Cointegration and Exchange Rate Dynamics," J. I. M. F. Vol 16, No. 3 (1997): 461-476.
Branson, W. H. and Katseli, L. "Currency Baskets and Real Effective Exchange Rates, " NBER Working ******, No.666, April 1981.
Bhandari, J. "The Flexible Exchange Basket: a Macroeconomic Analysis," J. I. M. F. 1 (1985): 19-41.
Turnovsky, S. "A Determination of the Optimal Currency Basket: A Macroeconomic Analysis," J. I. E. 12 (1982): 333-354.
Ogawa, E. and T. Ito, “On the Desirability of a Regional Basket Currency Arrangement,” NBER Working ******, No.8002, November 2000.
Spilimbergo, A. and A. Vamvakidis, “Real Effective Exchange Rate and the Constant Elasticity of Substitution Assumption,” J. I. E. 60 (2003): 337-354.
Flood, R. “Capital Mobility and the Choice of Exchange Rate System,” I. E. R. V.20, N.2, (1979):405-416.
Frankel, J. “No Single Currency Regime is Right for All Countries or at All Times,” NBER Working ******, No.7338, September 1999.
Calvo, G. and C. Reinhart, “Fear of Floating,” NBER Working ****** no. 7993, 2000.
Devereux, M. and C. Engel, “Fixed Vs Flexible Exchange Rates: How Price Setting Affects the Optimal Choice of exchange-rate Regime,” NBER Working ******, No.6867, December 1998.
Reinhart, C. and K. Rogoff, “The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements : A Reinterpretation,” Working ******, No.8963, June 2002.
Obstfeld, M. and K. Rogoff, “The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 9 (1995) : 73-96.
Flood, Robert and P. M. Garber, "Collapsing Exchnage Rates Regimes: Some Linear Examples," J. I. E. 17 (1984): 1-14.
Flood, R., P. Garber, Kramer, C., "Collapsing Exchnage Rates Regimes: Another Linear Example," J. I. E. 41 (1996): 223-234.
Flood, R. and N. Marion , “Perspectives on the Recent Currency Crisis Literature, International Journal of Finance and Economics 4, ( 1999 ): 1—26.
Calvo, G. "Balance of Payments Crises in a Cash-in-Advance Economy," J. M. C. B. V.19, N.1, February (1987) : 19-32.
Weymark, D. “Estimating Exchange Market Pressure and the Degree of Exchange Market Intervention for Canada ,” J. I. E. 39 (1995):273-295.
Agenor, P. and R. Flood "Macroeconomic Policy, Speculative Attacks, and Balance of Payments Crises," in van der Ploeg ed, Chap. 8, 1994: 224-250
Kaminsky, G. and C. Reinhart, “The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems,” A. E. R.1999:473-500.
Kaminsky, G., C. Reinhart, and C. Vegh, “The Unholy Trinity of Financial Contagion,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 17 No. 4. Fall 2003, 51-74; also NBER working ****** 10061, October 2003.
Domac, I. M. Peria, “Banking Crises and Exchange Rate Regimes: Is There a Link?” J. I. E. 61 (2003): 41-72.
Kraay, A. “Do High Interest Rates Defend Currencies During Speculative Attacks,” J. I. E. 59 (2003): 297-321.
Frankel, J. and M. Goldstein, “A Guide to Target Zones”, NBER Working ******, No.2113, December 1986.
Krugman, Paul "Target Zones and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Q . J . E . V.106,(1991): 669-682.
Froot, Kenneth and Maurice Obstfeld "Exchange-Rate Dynamices under Stochastic Regime Shifts: A Unified Approach," J. I. E. 31, (1991): 203-229.
Froot, Kenneth and Maurice Obstfeld "Stochastic Process Switching: Some ****** Solutions," Econometrica , Vol. 59, No. 1, (1991): 241-250.
Klein, M. W. "Playing with the Band: Dynamic Effects of Target Zones in an Open Economy," I . E . R . Vol 31, No.4, (1990): 757-772.
Coles, M. and A. Philippopoulos, " Are Exchange Rate Bands Better Than Fixed Exchange Rates? The Imported Credibility Approach," J. I. E. Vol 43, Nos. 1/2, (1997): 133-154.
Dominguez, K. and P. Kenen, "Intramarginal Intervention in the EMS and the Target Zone Model of Exchange Rate Behavior," Euro. Econ. Rev. 36 (1992): 1523-32.
Bertola, G. and R. Caballero "Target Zones and Relignments," A . E . R . Vol 82, No. 3 (1992): 520-536.
Sutherland, A. "Monetary and Real Shocks and the Optimal Target Zones," Euro. Econ. Rev . 39 (1995): 161-172.
Cukierman, A., Y. Spiegel, and L. Leiderman, “The Choice of Exchange Rate Bands: Balancing Credibility and Flexibility,” J. I. E. Vol 63 (2004): 379-408.
Bayoumi, T. “A Formal Model of Optimal Currency Areas,” IMF Staff ******s,41 (4), (1994):537-54.
Melitz, J. “A Suggested Reformulation of the Theory of Optimal Currency Areas,” Open Economies Review, 6, (1995):281-98.
Bayoumi, T. and B. Eichengreen, “Ever Closer to Heaven? An Optimum-currency-area Index for European Countries,” European Economic Review, 41, (1997):761-70.
Dellas, H. "European Monetary Union : A New Approach," J. I. M. F. Vol. 16, N.4, (1997): 581-594.
Dornbusch, R. and S. Fischer,” Exchange Rtaes and the Current Account.” A. E. R. 70, no.5 (1980):960-971.
Sachs, J. "The Current Account and Macroeconomic Adjustment in the 1970's," B. P. E. A. 1 (1981): 201-68.
Sachs, J. "The Current Account in the Macroeconomic Adjustment Process," Scan. Jour . of Econ . 84, no. 2 (1982): 147-59.
Matsuyama , K. "Current Account Dynamics in a Finite Horizon Model," J. I. E. 23, no 3/4 (1987): 299-314.
Frenkel, Jacob A. and Razin, Assaf, Fiscal Policies and the World Economy , An Intertemporal Approach. The MIT Press, 1987.
Frenkel, Jacob A. and Razin, Assaf, "Fiscal Policies in the World Economy," J. P. E Part 1, June (1986).
Sen, P. (1992): "Saving, Investment, and the Current Account," in van der Ploeg ed, The Handbook of International Macroeconomics, Blackwell Publishers, Chap. 15, 1994: 506-534.
Betts, C. and M. Devereux, “Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Model of Pricing to Market,” E. E. R. 40 (1996):1007-1021.
Obstfeld, M. and K. Rogoff, "Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux," J. P. E. Vol.103, no 3, (1995):624-660.
Bergin, P. “Putting the ‘New Open Macroeconomics' to a Test,” J. I. E. Vol 60, (2003): 3-34.
Mark, Chap. 9 “The New International Macroeconomics”
Lane, Philip, " The New Open Economy Macroeconomics: A Survey," J. I. E. 54 (2001) : 235-266. Also CEPR Discussion ****** #2115, March 1999
Obstfeld, M. and K. Rogoff, "New Directions in Stochastic Open Economy Models," Journal of International Economics 48 (2000), 117-153. Also NBER WP 7313.
五、网络资源:
世界银行
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www.bis.org
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亚洲开发银行
欧洲投资银行
美国国民经济研究局
www.bloomberg.com
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