Emerging Markets Macro and Strategy Outlook-24 March 2011-172 pages
Contents
Oil and emerging markets:where the risks are 3
Annual Indicators 10
Economic Framework 11
Leading Indicators 12
Monetary Policy Watch 13
FX Views 14
Our Forecasts vs. Consensus 15
Asia 17
China 18
Hong Kong 22
India 26
Indonesia 30
Malaysia 34
Pakistan 38
Philippines 42
Singapore 46
South Korea 50
Sri Lanka 54
Taiwan 58
Thailand 62
Vietnam 66
CEEMEA 71
Czech Republic 72
Egypt 76
Gulf Cooperation Countries 80
Hungary 84
Israel 88
Kazakhstan 92
Nigeria 96
Other Africa 100
Poland 104
Romania 108
Russia 112
Slovakia 116
South Africa 120
Turkey 124
Ukraine 128
Latin America 133
Argentina 134
Brazil 138
Chile 142
Colombia 146
Mexico 150
Panama 154
Peru 158
Venezuela 162
Appendix A-1 169
Asia Macro and Strategy Outlook-25 March 2011-74 pages
Contents
Citi Key Economic Forecasts 3
Macro Overview 4
Asian Currencies & Interest Rate Forecasts 12
Country Section 13
China 14
Hong Kong 18
India 22
Indonesia 26
Malaysia 30
Pakistan 34
Philippines 38
Singapore 42
South Korea 46
Sri Lanka 50
Taiwan 54
Thailand 58
Vietnam 62
Appendix:Sovereign Risk Ratings Summary 66
Global Assumptions 67
Recent Publications 68
Asia-Pacific Economics and Market Analysis 69
Appendix A-1 72
Latin America Macro and Strategy Outlook-25 March 2011-64 pages
Table of Contents
The Month Ahead 5
Consolidated Economic Indicators-Latam 10
High Frequency Indicators-Latin America 11
Selected Charts-Latin America 12
Macro Forecasts 13
FX and Interest Rate Forecasts 15
Country Monitor 17
Argentina 18
Selected Charts-Argentina 20
Macroeconomic Indicators-Argentina 21
Brazil 22
Selected Charts-Brazil 24
Macroeconomic Indicators-Brazil 25
Caribbean and Central America 26
Selected Charts-CCA 28
Macroeconomic Indicators-CCA 29
Chile 30
Selected Charts-Chile 32
Macroeconomic Indicators-Chile 33
Colombia 34
Selected Charts-Colombia 36
Macroeconomic Indicators-Colombia 37
Mexico 38
Selected Charts-Mexico 40
Macroeconomic Indicators-Mexico 41
Peru 42
Selected Charts-Peru 44
Macroeconomic Indicators-Peru 45
Venezuela 46
Selected Charts-Venezuela 48
Macroeconomic Indicators-Venezuela 49
Appendix 51
Medium and Long Term Trends 52
Public Sector Borrowing Requirements (US$ billion) 54
Performance Monitor 55
Sovereign Risk Ratings 56
Recent Macro View Pieces 57
Economics and Market Analysis Team 58
Appendix A-1 62
Global Economic Outlook and Strategy-23 March 2011-80 pages
Contents
Forecast Highlights and Changes from Last Month 3
Overview-Twin Shocks:Oil and Earthquake 4
Economic Forecast Overview 6
Short Rates,10-Year Yield Forecasts and 10-Year Yield Spreads 10
Emerging Market Countries-Short Rates and Forecast 11
Foreign Exchange Forecasts 11
Country Commentary 18
United States 18
Japan 19
Euro Area 20
Germany and France 21
Italy,Spain and Greece 22
UK 23
Switzerland,Sweden,Denmark and Norway 24
Canada 25
Australia and New Zealand 26
China 27
India 28
Korea and Indonesia 29
Hong Kong and Singapore 30
Russia 31
Turkey 31
Hungary 32
Poland 32
Czech Republic 33
Romania 33
Brazil 34
Mexico 34
Argentina 35
Venezuela 35
Saudi Arabia 36
United Arab Emirates 36
Nigeria 37
South Africa 37
Rates Strategy-Bearish View Intact 42
Credit Outlook-Resilient or Complacent? 44
Global Equity Strategy 46
Securitized Products Strategy 48
Citi Commodities Outlook and Price Forecasts 50
Citi Foreign Exchange Forecasts 56
Appendix A-1 76