摘要翻译：
本文简要介绍了1980年至2016年改革开放以来汕头经济特区的发展历程，重点研究了政策制定问题及其对地方经济的影响。本文按照1991年底原汕头区分立为汕头、潮州、揭阳三市的思路，分为1980年至1991年、1992年至2016年两个部分。本文分析了原汕头区分离的政策制定问题，分离后政策对汕头经济的影响，三市合并为一个大的经济新区的可能性，以及汕头近20年来发展停滞的原因。本文通过广义加性模型和时间序列预测方法，将统计纵向分析方法应用于经济问题的分析，并将非参数统计应用于经济问题的分析。本文由Bowen Cai单独撰写，他是巴黎圣母院大学应用计算数学与统计学博士项目的研究生，专注于大数据分析。
---
英文标题：
《The Research on the Stagnant Development of Shantou Special Economic
  Zone Under Reform and Opening-Up Policy》
---
作者：
Bowen Cai
---
最新提交年份：
2017
---
分类信息：

一级分类：Economics        经济学
二级分类：Econometrics        计量经济学
分类描述：Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论，微观计量经济学，宏观计量经济学，通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容，统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
--

---
英文摘要：
  This study briefly introduces the development of Shantou Special Economic Zone under Reform and Opening-Up Policy from 1980 through 2016 with a focus on policy making issues and its influences on local economy. This paper is divided into two parts, 1980 to 1991, 1992 to 2016 in accordance with the separation of the original Shantou District into three cities: Shantou, Chaozhou and Jieyang in the end of 1991. This study analyzes the policy making issues in the separation of the original Shantou District, the influences of the policy on Shantou's economy after separation, the possibility of merging the three cities into one big new economic district in the future and reasons that lead to the stagnant development of Shantou in recent 20 years. This paper uses statistical longitudinal analysis in analyzing economic problems with applications of non-parametric statistics through generalized additive model and time series forecasting methods. The paper is authored by Bowen Cai solely, who is the graduate student in the PhD program of Applied and Computational Mathematics and Statistics at the University of Notre Dame with concentration in big data analysis.
---
PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1711.08877