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2022-03-27
摘要翻译:
金融经济模型通常假设投资者知道(或同意)公司股票的基本价值,从而使股票交换所产生的金融系统从个人到集体层面的通道变得容易。我们的模型放松了对一个唯一的“真实价值”的英雄假设,并通过个人和社会观点(或信念)的动态形成来处理股票市场价格的形成,这些观点(或信念)基于经济表现和公司地位的基本信号、异质个人投资者的预测修正以及他们对市场定价过程的持续状态的社会情绪或情绪。然后,市场出清价格的形成表现为个体和群体的动态特征,这使得其集体维度不可还原为个体水平。这种动态的整体方法可以应用于更好地理解股票交易所随着时间的推移所产生的市场繁荣。
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英文标题:
《The formation of share market prices under heterogeneous beliefs and
  common knowledge》
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作者:
Yuri Biondi, Pierpaolo Giannoccolo and Serge Galam
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最新提交年份:
2011
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分类信息:

一级分类:Physics        物理学
二级分类:Physics and Society        物理学与社会
分类描述:Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体(人类或其他)的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统(如能源网、运输网络)的物理和工程。
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一级分类:Computer Science        计算机科学
二级分类:Social and Information Networks        社会和信息网络
分类描述:Covers the design, analysis, and modeling of social and information networks, including their applications for on-line information access, communication, and interaction, and their roles as datasets in the exploration of questions in these and other domains, including connections to the social and biological sciences. Analysis and modeling of such networks includes topics in ACM Subject classes F.2, G.2, G.3, H.2, and I.2; applications in computing include topics in H.3, H.4, and H.5; and applications at the interface of computing and other disciplines include topics in J.1--J.7. Papers on computer communication systems and network protocols (e.g. TCP/IP) are generally a closer fit to the Networking and Internet Architecture (cs.NI) category.
涵盖社会和信息网络的设计、分析和建模,包括它们在联机信息访问、通信和交互方面的应用,以及它们作为数据集在这些领域和其他领域的问题探索中的作用,包括与社会和生物科学的联系。这类网络的分析和建模包括ACM学科类F.2、G.2、G.3、H.2和I.2的主题;计算应用包括H.3、H.4和H.5中的主题;计算和其他学科接口的应用程序包括J.1-J.7中的主题。关于计算机通信系统和网络协议(例如TCP/IP)的论文通常更适合网络和因特网体系结构(CS.NI)类别。
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一级分类:Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类:Pricing of Securities        证券定价
分类描述:Valuation and hedging of financial securities, their derivatives, and structured products
金融证券及其衍生产品和结构化产品的估值和套期保值
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英文摘要:
  Financial economic models often assume that investors know (or agree on) the fundamental value of the shares of the firm, easing the passage from the individual to the collective dimension of the financial system generated by the Share Exchange over time. Our model relaxes that heroic assumption of one unique "true value" and deals with the formation of share market prices through the dynamic formation of individual and social opinions (or beliefs) based upon a fundamental signal of economic performance and position of the firm, the forecast revision by heterogeneous individual investors, and their social mood or sentiment about the ongoing state of the market pricing process. Market clearing price formation is then featured by individual and group dynamics that make its collective dimension irreducible to its individual level. This dynamic holistic approach can be applied to better understand the market exuberance generated by the Share Exchange over time.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1105.3228
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