英文标题：
《Bi-Demographic Changes and Current Account using SVAR Modeling》
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作者：
Hassan B. Ghassan, Hassan R. Al-Hajhoj, Faruk Balli
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最新提交年份：
2019
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英文摘要：
  The paper aims to explore the impacts of bi-demographic structure on the current account and growth. Using a SVAR modeling, we track the dynamic impacts between these underlying variables. New insights have been developed about the dynamic interrelation between population growth, current account and economic growth. The long-run net impact on economic growth of the domestic working population growth and demand labor for emigrants is positive, due to the predominant contribution of skilled emigrant workers. Besides, the positive long-run contribution of emigrant workers to the current account growth largely compensates the negative contribution from the native population, because of the predominance of skilled compared to unskilled workforce. We find that a positive shock in demand labor for emigrant workers leads to an increasing effect on native active age ratio. Thus, the emigrants appear to be more complements than substitutes for native workers.
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中文摘要：
本文旨在探讨双重人口结构对经常账户和增长的影响。使用SVAR建模，我们跟踪这些基础变量之间的动态影响。人们对人口增长、经常账户和经济增长之间的动态相互关系有了新的认识。由于技术移民工人的主要贡献，国内劳动人口增长和移民劳动力需求对经济增长的长期净影响是积极的。此外，移民工人对经常账户增长的长期正贡献在很大程度上弥补了本地人口的负贡献，因为与非熟练劳动力相比，熟练劳动力占优势。我们发现，对移民工人的劳动力需求的正面冲击会导致对本地活跃年龄比率的影响增加。因此，移民似乎是对本地工人的补充，而不是替代。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Economics        经济学
二级分类：Econometrics        计量经济学
分类描述：Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论，微观计量经济学，宏观计量经济学，通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容，统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance        一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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