差分取对数两个时间序列数据,同为一阶单整,平稳后进行回归,加了虚拟level shift变量,没加截距项,结果解释变量回归系数显著,但是拟合优度为负值(如下),
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
DLTRADE3 0.555524 0.119146 4.662556 0.0000
RL1991 0.072855 0.034680 2.100794 0.0403
R-squared -0.044037 Mean dependent var 0.118759
Adjusted R-squared -0.063020 S.D. dependent var 0.136924
S.E. of regression 0.141172 Akaike info criterion -1.043216
Sum squared resid 1.096126 Schwarz criterion -0.971530
Log likelihood 31.73166 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.015357
Durbin-Watson stat 1.920078
求教这是神马状况,该如何调整?
金币感谢。(还不知道该如何给)。