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2011-6-14 21:21:54
35,35

QE 3.0 is coming, and the matter will be worse
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2011-6-14 22:44:24
32,32
我不知道这种观念从哪里来,但是我和一些人都觉得从长期看,货币是在贬值。如果货币政策是货币的主要决定力量,那么就说明宽松货币政策用的比较多,或者力度比较大。或许经济不景气时的超调是经济周期和长期货币趋势的决定性力量。今天还看见某专家提醒警惕超调风险。
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2011-6-14 22:48:07
Follow Me: 33, 33
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2011-6-14 23:21:29
35,35

"Buta sharply lower dollar would, at the same time, mean sharply higher inflation,requiring it to tighten policy."
I quite agree this sentence. And I think with RMB appreciating, domestic inflation will decline, at least not so serious as what it would be if not so.
A good answer to this question, https://bbs.pinggu.org/thread-1112884-1-1.html, right?
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2011-6-14 23:39:22
34  31
I'm late.
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2011-6-15 00:07:49
a little difficult to understand the esay for words, however, I will keep following me...
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2011-6-15 00:12:16
Frustrated investors would then dump their US Treasury securities. Bond yieldswould shoot up. The dollar would plummet. There would be financial distress and a deep recession.
Can someone help to explain how or why will the phonomina happen? I'm confused and frustrated of this. thanks very much!
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2011-6-15 00:41:18
33 and 33
go on~
it's too late...
good night, everyone~
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2011-6-15 01:19:59
follow:16,16  连续跟帖收获很大呢,一直在准备的六级的生词能在这里看见,既开心又觉得亲切,能记得劳。今天公布的中国的CPI为5.5%,又创历史新高。美元连续贬值,那人民币势必被迫升值,则我们的通胀率会持续走高…
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2011-6-15 01:30:18
26,26
With Treasury yieldsspiking and economic activity collapsing, the Fed would want to cut interestrates and flood the markets with liquidity.
美国国债面临着人民币等主流货币的升值而贬值,因此肯定要降息,本身美国股市就低迷,此次的降息预期肯定又预示着一轮股市的低迷
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2011-6-15 07:05:10
12 12
  If  there is a threat to the dollar, it stems not from monetary policy, but from the fiscal side. What is most likely to precipitate a dollar crash is evidence that US budgets are not being made by responsible adults. A US Congress engaged in political grandstanding might fail to raise the debt ceiling, triggering a technical default. Evidence that the inmates were running the asylum would almost certainly precipitate the wholesale liquidation of US Treasury bonds by foreign investors.
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2011-6-15 07:05:59
好文章!!!!
支持!!
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2011-6-15 10:09:37
市场永远都是顾此失比,要保持美元国际货币必须保持美元的强硬和坚挺,但是持久的零几率使得美元追逐高利率市场,美元贬值,国内通胀压力加大。到随着美元国债收益率和经济形势依然不明朗,降息依然得行。   main point : with fed's long time zero interest and higher treasury yield . dollar has debased more than 5%. dollar, as a international reserve money, America must keep the exchange ratio steady .monetary policies must recovery money.raise the fed interest. but taking consideration of america economic station,  raising interest faces risks.
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2011-6-15 17:25:20
没读完,太长了。
15,15
坚持
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