全部版块 我的主页
论坛 经济学论坛 三区 产业经济学
1671 5
2011-11-16

IMF发布首份金融评估报告:中国金融体系总体稳健


20111116 07:37  人民网—人民日报海外版

  国际货币基金组织(IMF)日前公布的对中国金融部门进行的首次正式评估中指出:中国的金融体系总体稳健,但脆弱性在逐渐增加。中国央行称,总体来看,报告对中国金融体系的评价是客观、积极、正面的,但个别观点不够全面、不够客观。

  中国金融监管标准比较高

  国际货币基金组织和世界银行日前公布了中国金融部门评估规划成果报告——《中国金融体系稳定评估报告》和《中国金融部门评估报告》。这是IMF对中国开展的首次金融部门评估规划检查,该检查是与世界银行合作进行,全球25个具有系统重要性的经济体同意至少每隔5年接受一次强制性评估,中国是其中之一。

  报告中,国际货币基金组织和世界银行充分肯定了中国金融体系近年来在商业化转型、增强财务稳健性、改进金融监管等方面取得的显著进展。报告认为中国金融改革进展良好,金融机构实力不断增强,金融体系总体稳健,有效抵御了国际金融危机;金融服务和产品日益多样化,有力支持了经济发展;近年来中国在银行业、证券业、保险业监管和支付、结算体系建设方面取得了显著成就,较好地遵守了金融领域国际标准与准则,在构建反洗钱和反恐融资体系方面取得重大进展。

  正如央行所言,这份报告的总体评价是比较客观的。因为中国经济增速尽管有所回落,但仍是世界上增长最快的国家之一,这为金融体系特别是银行体系的稳健发展奠定了经济基础。首都经贸大学金融学院院长谢太峰对本报记者说。

  中央财经大学中国银行(2.95,-0.05,-1.67%)业研究中心主任郭田勇(微博)对本报记者说,中国金融业整体表现稳健,一方面中国经济处在持续向好的过程中,金融机构赢利空间大;另一方面,中国金融监管标准比较高。总体而言,中国金融体系呈现高赢利且经营比较稳健的状况。

  仍有风险需要防范

  不过,报告称,根据IMF与中国ZF部门合作对中国最大的17家商业银行进行的压力测试显示,多数银行似乎有能力抵御包括资产质量大幅恶化(包括房地产市场的调整)、收益率曲线的移动及汇率的变化等风险的单独冲击,但若上述风险同时发生就将构成巨大挑战。IMF货币与资本市场部助理主任达斯表示,很难预计这些风险什么时候将同时发生。

  此外,IMF认为中国快速的信贷扩张导致贷款质量恶化、影子银行和表外活动使银行脱媒现象加剧、房价下跌、全球经济形势不明朗,都增加了中国金融体系的风险。

  谢太峰表示,对借款人的软债权和对存款人的硬债务使得银行成信用风险聚集地,IMF的报告同样也提示我们,金融业的隐患也是存在的。从中国的情况来讲,一是国际经济的不确定性会影响经济的增长,如果欧债危机进一步蔓延、世界经济长期低迷,就会影响到中国的出口行业,大量的外向型企业可能会出现资金周转的问题;二是国内地方ZF债务平台的问题,银行也有大量的配套贷款,如不能妥善处理,就会增加银行业的风险;三是房地产市场低迷,可能会影响到开发商的还款能力以及大量贷款人的还款能力,因此要把握好调控力度,避免这些风险转移到银行系统中去。

  建议并不完全符合国情

  IMF报告提出了一系列改进建议,其中涉及中国应继续推进金融改革,加强金融监管,完善金融稳定框架,加快金融体系市场化进程,协调宏观经济和金融政策以扩大金融服务覆盖面,进一步完善金融基础设施等方面。

  IMF有关人士表示,中国ZF并没有义务遵照报告的建议,但是我们希望报告本身能够引起有关部门的重视,在改革中发挥作用。

  中国央行认为,报告对中国金融体系未来改革的建议是富有建设性的。我们也注意到,报告中还存在个别不够全面、不够客观的观点,所提出的某些改革措施的具体时间框架和优先顺序等建议尚需结合中国实际深入研究。央行同时表示,利率、汇率改革已取得重大进展,目前市场机制已在利率、汇率形成中发挥着基础性作用,在明确改革方向的同时,具体推进改革步骤时应根据中国实际情况保持灵活性。

  “IMF的建议有合理的一面,但也有些未必完全符合中国国情。谢太峰说,比如利率问题,我们是不是应该这么快就走向利率的市场化?在目前中国的情况下,这可能会给中国经济带来更大的风险,大量的中小银行可能会面临生存空间越来越小的状况,因为他们可能不得不用更高的利率去吸存,从而对金融体系造成混乱。因此,对IMF建议的具体实施上,要根据国情来参考。

二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

全部回复
2011-11-16 17:23:48

央行回应IMF报告:所提建议尚需深入研究

2011年11月16日 01:24  第一财经日报
  聂伟柱
  昨日,央行发布公告,正式就国际货币基金组织(微博)(IMF)和世界银行公布的有关中国“金融部门评估规划”成果报告进行回应。央行表示,总体来看,报告对我国金融体系的评价是客观、积极、正面的,对我国金融体系未来改革建议是富有建设性的。
  与此同时,央行还称,“我们也注意到,报告中还存在个别不够全面、不够客观的观点,所提出的某些改革措施的具体时间框架和优先顺序等建议尚需结合我国实际深入研究。”
  上述IMF、世行报告认为,为促进金融体系进一步发展,中国需关注金融体系融资结构不均衡、商业化程度不充分、金融产品和服务覆盖面不够广、养老保险体系需进一步完善、金融基础设施有待改善等问题。
  报告建议中国继续推进金融改革,加强金融监管,完善金融稳定框架,加快金融体系市场化进程,协调宏观经济和金融政策以扩大金融服务覆盖面,进一步完善金融基础设施。
  在中国“金融部门评估规划”成果报告中,IMF和世行充分肯定了我国金融体系近年来在商业化转型、增强财务稳健性、改进金融监管等方面取得的显著进展。
  央行还认为,经过多年改革,中国金融体系在商业化转型方面取得了长足进步。随着主要大型国有金融机构股份制改革的完成,ZF对金融体系的影响已从直接手段转为通过金融机构法人治理结构发挥作用。
  “利率、汇率改革已取得重大进展,目前市场机制已在利率、汇率形成中发挥着基础性作用。”央行表示,在明确改革方向的同时,具体推进改革步骤时应根据我国实际情况保持灵活性。#

二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

2011-11-16 17:26:46

基金组织呼吁中国进一步改革金融体系

见附件。
附件列表
二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

2011-11-16 17:27:57
二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

2011-11-16 17:28:17

Press Release No. 10/357

IMF Expanding Surveillance to Require Mandatory Financial Stability Assessments of Countries with Systemically Important Financial Sectors
Press Release No. 10/357
September 27, 2010
The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has approved making financial stability assessments under the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) a regular and mandatory part of the Fund’s surveillance for members with systemically important financial sectors. While participation in the FSAP program has been voluntary for all Fund members, the Executive Board’s decision will make financial stability assessments mandatory for members with systemically important financial sectors under Article IV of the Fund’s Articles of Agreement.

The decision adopted on September 21, 2010 to raise the profile of financial stability assessments under the FSAP for members with systemically important financial sectors is a recognition of the central role of financial systems in the domestic economy of its members, as well as in the overall stability of the global economy. It is a major step toward enhancing the Fund’s economic surveillance to take into account the lessons from the recent crisis, which originated in financial imbalances in large and globally interconnected countries.

The FSAP provides the framework for comprehensive and in-depth assessments of a country’s financial sector, and was established in 1999, in the aftermath of the Asian crisis. FSAP assessments are conducted by joint IMF-World Bank teams in developing and emerging market countries, and by the Fund alone in advanced economies. FSAPs have two components, which may also be conducted in separate modules: a financial stability assessment, which is the responsibility of the IMF and, in developing and emerging market countries, a financial development assessment, the responsibility of the World Bank.

These mandatory financial stability assessments will comprise three elements: 1) An evaluation of the source, probability, and potential impact of the main risks to macro-financial stability in the near term, based on an analysis of the structure and soundness of the financial system and its interlinkages with the rest of the economy; 2) An assessment of each countries’ financial stability policy framework, involving an evaluation of the effectiveness of financial sector supervision against international standards; and 3) An assessment of the authorities’ capacity to manage and resolve a financial crisis should the risks materialize, looking at the country’s liquidity management framework, financial safety nets, crisis preparedness and crisis resolution frameworks.

“The FSAP program has been a key tool for analyzing the strengths and weaknesses of the financial systems of IMF member countries. This is why more than three-quarters of the Fund’s members have volunteered for these assessments, some more than once. However, the recent crisis has made clear the need for mandatory and regular assessments of financial stability for countries with large and interconnected financial systems. The Board’s decision represents an important part of the international community’s response to the recent crisis and will buttress our ability to exercise surveillance over a key aspect of the global economic machinery – the financial system,” said John Lipsky, First Deputy Managing Director of the IMF.

A total of 25 jurisdictions were identified as having systemically important financial sectors, based on a methodology that combines the size and interconnectedness of each country’s financial sector. They are in alphabetical order: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Hong Kong SAR, Italy, Japan, India, Ireland, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, Russia, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States. This group of countries covers almost 90 percent of the global financial system and 80 percent of global economic activity. It includes 15 of the Group of 20 member countries, and a majority of members of the Financial Stability Board, which has been working with the IMF on monitoring compliance with international banking regulations and standards. Each country on this list will have a mandatory financial stability assessment every five years. Countries may undergo more frequent assessments, if appropriate, on a voluntary basis. The methodology and list of jurisdictions will be reviewed periodically to make sure it continues to capture the countries with the most systemically important financial sectors that need to be covered by regular, in-depth, mandatory financial stability assessments.

“Going forward, regular stability assessments of systemically important financial sectors should contribute to a deeper the public understanding of the risks to economic stability arising from the financial sector. Financial instability can have a major impact on economic activity and job creation.” Mr. Lipsky said. “At the same time, we are committed—with the World Bank—to ensuring that this new mandate does not crowd out FSAP assessments in other countries.”

For more details see paper Integrating Stability Assessments Under the Financial Sector Assessment Program into Article IV Surveillance

For more information on FSAPs see Factsheet.


二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

2011-11-16 17:30:20

挂单标记。

挂单标记。
二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

相关推荐
栏目导航
热门文章
推荐文章

说点什么

分享

扫码加好友,拉您进群
各岗位、行业、专业交流群