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2007-02-07

GS 高华证券:亚太经济-中国:微调07-08年预测 

02.05  4页 英文

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We maintain our positive view on China’s growth prospects in 2007-2008, and
we update our macro forecast after the release of 4Q GDP and activities data:
1. We are adjusting our CPI inflation forecasts to 2.4% in 2007 and 1.8% in 2008, from 2.2% and 2.0% respectively.

2. We now expect the current account to reach 9% of GDP in 2007, and to stay high at around 8.8% in 2008.

3. We are raising our 3, 6 and 12-month USD/CNY forecasts to 7.62, 7.49, 7.25, up from 7.69, 7.58, and 7.41.

[此贴子已经被作者于2007-2-7 17:00:14编辑过]

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