样本自相关函数		样本偏自相关函数
1	0.9739	0.9739
2	0.9369	-0.2243
3	0.9103	0.2383
4	0.8905	0.0156
5	0.8725	0.0388
6	0.8592	0.1116
7	0.8481	0.0054
8	0.8333	-0.0448
9	0.8142	-0.0340
10	0.7956	0.0114
11	0.7794	0.0100
12	0.7676	0.0748
13	0.7570	-0.0193
14	0.7445	-0.0200
15	0.7329	0.0486
16	0.7259	0.0789
17	0.7198	0.0014
18	0.7121	0.0082
19	0.7053	0.0287
20	0.6999	0.0087
21	0.6915	-0.0382
22	0.6825	0.0315
23	0.6757	0.0151
24	0.6688	-0.0325
25	0.6620	0.0336
26	0.6543	-0.0348
27	0.6456	0.0016
28	0.6365	-0.0027
29	0.6293	0.0353
30	0.6242	0.0198
31	0.6168	-0.0457
32	0.6078	0.0015
33	0.5974	-0.0480
34	0.5855	-0.0098
35	0.5744	0.0115
36	0.5647	-0.0191
37	0.5557	-0.0032
38	0.5451	-0.0430
39	0.5361	0.0554
40	0.5284	-0.0082
41	0.5214	0.0337
42	0.5155	0.0128
43	0.5120	0.0332
44	0.5079	-0.0103
45	0.5016	-0.0148
46	0.4907	-0.0892
47	0.4779	-0.0214
48	0.4671	0.0149
49	0.4585	-0.0215
50	0.4477	-0.0667
51	0.4374	0.0400
52	0.4272	-0.0451
53	0.4180	0.0401
54	0.4081	-0.0041
55	0.4004	0.0438
56	0.3957	0.0279
57	0.3913	-0.0018
58	0.3845	-0.0098
59	0.3795	0.0587
60	0.3758	-0.0176
61	0.3722	0.0038
62	0.3671	-0.0365
63	0.3629	0.0346
64	0.3620	0.0541
65	0.3622	0.0041
66	0.3618	0.0223
67	0.3574	-0.0691
68	0.3501	-0.0235
69	0.3415	-0.0319
70	0.3323	-0.0048
71	0.3250	0.0247
72	0.3190	-0.0311
73	0.3142	0.0142
74	0.3088	-0.0206
75	0.3035	0.0408
76	0.2971	-0.0357
77	0.2891	0.0019
78	0.2813	0.0020
79	0.2768	0.0534
80	0.2771	0.0803
81	0.2784	-0.0034
82	0.2795	0.0398
83	0.2812	0.0259
84	0.2806	-0.0500
85	0.2786	0.0191
86	0.2781	0.0075
87	0.2780	-0.0265
88	0.2762	-0.0378
89	0.2717	-0.0566
90	0.2675	0.0253
91	0.2635	-0.0200
92	0.2579	-0.0293
93	0.2511	-0.0147
94	0.2463	0.0387
95	0.2397	-0.0529
96	0.2312	-0.0190
97	0.2236	0.0337
98	0.2186	0.0131
99	0.2147	0.0178
100	0.2105	-0.0186

上图是原始数据的ACF和PACF，请问怎么选择p和q啊？