年 份
能源生产总量
(万吨标准煤)
1990
103922
1997
133460
2004
196648
1991
104844
1998
129834
2005
216219
1992
107256
1999
131935
2006
232167
1993
111059
2000
135048
2007
247279
1994
118729
2001
143875
2008
260552
1995
129034
2002
150656
2009
274619
1996
133032
2003
171906
2010
296916
ADF Test Statistic
-3.432641
1% Critical Value*
-3.9635
5% Critical Value
-3.0818
10% Critical Value
-2.6829
*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(Y3)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 09/29/12 Time: 12:10
Sample(adjusted): 1996 2010
Included observations: 15 after adjusting endpoints
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
Y3(-1)
-1.672564
0.487253
0.0050
D(Y3(-1))
0.145215
0.285420
0.508776
0.6201
C
340.9405
1824.655
0.186852
0.8549
R-squared
0.735867
Mean dependent var
-10.46667
Adjusted R-squared
0.691845
S.D. dependent var
12714.66
S.E. of regression
7058.126
Akaike info criterion
20.73860
Sum squared resid
5.98E+08
Schwarz criterion
20.88021
Log likelihood
-152.5395
F-statistic
16.71583
Durbin-Watson stat
2.107347
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000340
这个是三阶的,不知道完事没有。
-3.432641不是比其他三个数字大啊,那怎么办啊
求贵人帮助啊
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