花旗:未来一周亚太地区重大财经动态前瞻
The Week Ahead Asia Edition April 4, 2007
04.04 15页
Highlights
China. We expect the Chinese government may introduce more policy measures
to shrink trade surplus, but it will take a while to set in (p. 2).
India. Similar to trends in recent months, we expect industrial production
growth to remain in the double-digit range (p. 3).
Korea. Steady job growth likely to continue (p. 3).
Malaysia. The export number suggests a further consolidation of the industrial
production trend (p. 4).
Philippines. Export growth in February may correct to 12% yoy, following
slower electronic exports (p. 4).
Singapore. 1Q07 GDP flash estimate will likely come in at about 6%, as
manufacturing holds up despite tech slump (p. 5).
Taiwan. Exports likely continued to decelerate in March on weak tech demand,
while imports likely bounced back on rising energy imports (p. 5).
Data Calendar
Date Day Local Time Country Indicator For Citi Fcst
Mkt
Fcst Prev.
9-Apr Mon 12:01 PM Malaysia Industrial Output (% YoY) Feb 4.0 3.6 2.3
9-Apr Mon 4:00 PM Taiwan Exports (% YoY) Mar 2.2 10.2 -3.6
9-Apr Mon 4:00 PM Taiwan Imports (% YoY) Mar 5.6 9.2 -21.1
9-Apr Mon 4:00 PM Taiwan Trade Balance (US$ bn) Mar 1.0 — 2.2
11-Apr Wed 12:30 PM Korea Unemployment Rate (% SA) Mar 3.3 — 3.2
11-Apr Wed 9:00 AM Philippines Exports (US$, % YoY) Feb 12.0 10.3 27.3
12-Apr Thu 3:00 PM India Industrial Production (% YoY) Feb 11.3 11.3 10.9
10-13 Apr Singapore Advanced Real GDP (% YoY) 1Q07 6.0 5.4 6.6
10-13 Apr Singapore Advanced Real GDP (% QoQ 1Q07 6.7 — 5.6
9-12 Apr China Exports (US$ % YoY) Mar 31.0 25.3 51.7
9-12 Apr China Imports (US$ % YoY) Mar 14.8 15.6 13.1
9-12 Apr China Trade Balance (US$ bn) Mar 25.5 20.0 23.8
9-16 Apr China M2 (% yoy) Mar 17.4 17.0 17.8