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2005-04-06
英文文献:Market Responses to Climate Stress: Rice in Java in the 1930s-市场对气候压力的反应:上世纪30年代爪哇的大米
英文文献作者:Pierre van der Eng
英文文献摘要:
Do markets in less-developed countries abate consequences of climate stress? Rainfall is an important factor in rice production in Indonesia. This paper uses changes in regional rice prices across the 19 residencies in less-developed Java to assess how rice markets responded to variations in rainfall during 1935-1940. It finds that rice markets were highly integrated across Java. The El Ni???o-induced episodes of lower than usual rainfall in 1935 and 1940 did not have a negative effect on levels and variations in regional rice prices, nor did they have adverse consequences for the supply of rice. Adaptive responses of firms specialising in the trade of rice are likely to have mitigated regional deficiencies in food production caused by climate stress.

欠发达国家的市场能减轻气候压力的后果吗?降雨是印尼水稻生产的一个重要因素。本文利用爪哇岛19个欠发达地区大米价格的变化来评估1935-1940年期间大米市场对降雨变化的反应。它发现,稻米市场在爪哇地区高度整合。1935年和1940年厄尔尼诺现象导致的低于正常水平的降雨量并没有对区域大米价格水平和变化产生负面影响,也没有对大米供应产生负面影响。专门从事大米贸易的公司的适应性反应可能缓解了气候压力造成的地区粮食生产不足。
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