未来30年中国的发展趋势
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中国将成为全球化经济中最重要的影响因素之一，作为“世界工厂”，对全球的经济将产生决定性影响，中国未来的政治走向不仅对自身的经济扩张有重要影响，而且对全球的的紧急，繁荣和稳定起重要作用。中国政治走向的挑战来自：环境，社会，政治，金融和人口。如果这些问题的解决失败的话，那么会带来经济上的在奶，社会的动荡和不稳定，不仅影响到地区，也影响到整个世界。中国的持续经济增长以及社会政治方面的改革可能在21世纪下半个世纪挑战美国的全球霸主地位。

来源：THE DCDC GLOBAL STRATEGIC TRENDS PROGRAMME, Ministry of Defense, UK. 2007

Chinese Economic Development. China will be one of the most significant
factors in the future of the globalized economy as its position as the ‘workshop of
the world’ will have decisive influence on global economic demand and labour
markets. At the same time, its ever increasing foreign exchange reserves reflect
growing Western indebtedness. China’s future political direction will be crucial
therefore, not only for its own economic expansion, prosperity and stability, but for
that of the whole world. However, that political direction will be conducted against
a range of significant challenges; environmental, social, political, financial and
demographic. Failure to address these successfully may result in economic
failure, political instability, societal disorder and unrest, with both regional and
global repercussions. Chinese success in sustaining hitherto rapid economic
growth allied with social and environmental reform, may result in a challenge to
the U.S status as the global hegemony in the second half of the twenty first
century.