对面板数据使用xtlogit或xtprobit命令,怎么计算正确预测比率?命令是什么呢?有人知道吗?
webuse union
xtprobit union age grade south, nolog
mfx, predict(pu0) **//我用了这个命令,原因是看到:
pu0:calculates the probability of a positive outcome, assuming that the
random effect for that observation's panel is zero. This probability
may not be similar to the proportion of observed outcomes in the
group.
但好像不对。结果如下:
Marginal effects after xtprobit
y = Pr(union=1 assuming u_i=0) (predict, pu0)
= .08566289
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
variable | dy/dx Std. Err. z P>|z| [ 95% C.I. ] X
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
age | .001372 .00033 4.19 0.000 .000731 .002013 30.4322
grade | .0080122 .00157 5.09 0.000 .004927 .011098 12.7615
south*| -.0791024 .00687 -11.51 0.000 -.092574 -.065631 .413015
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(*) dy/dx is for discrete change of dummy variable from 0 to 1
红字部分是正确预测比率吗?那这个8.57%的正确预测概率岂不是太低了?
请各位帮忙解答,非常感谢。