偶然逛NBER,发现最近有个不错的研究: 同班同学效应是否淡去(DO CLASSMATE EFFECTS FADE OUT?)
简单说一下结论:
高中同班效应,尤其是同学母亲有大学学历的情况,会带来正的效应;而这个效应在一个人到达29-32岁左右的时候几乎消失殆尽;而这种效应也并没有对完成大学教育以及就业有显著效果。
通俗一点说:十年河东、十年河西;高中时的同学家庭的确能起很大作用,尤其是高知家庭,能很好的把握学习的特性和孩子的性格,让他们度过性格定型的高中时期。而以后的发展,则很难说高中同学能继续发挥余热(参见越来越少的高中同学聚会)。
用的方法很简单:panel data--National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health (Add Health) is a longitudinal survey that follows multiple cohorts of students from the same schools.
研究思路:
首先研究examine whether the impacts of high school cohort composition on college attendance are sustained(门槛问题。简单说一下,美国很多高中生毕业之后并不着急考入大学,有些人回去打工、创业、旅游、比赛等等,等想读的时候再申请入学);
然后到examine whether or not the composition of one’s high school cohort has any longer term effects on college completion and labor market outcomes(程度).
一些楼主注意到的细节:
1,本文认为attending school and classes with more educationally advantaged students, e.g. more students with college educated parents, might influence the development of academic skills, attitudes towards school, and college aspirations.
2,解决的难题之一:The primary challenge in estimating cohort composition effects is the potential correlation between unobserved student characteristics and cohort attributes created by self-selection of individuals into schools (Moffitt 2001).
回归比较简单,做的也是个很成熟的研究,但还是挺有意思。