Vector Error Correction Estimates
Date: 01/22/13 Time: 14:30
Sample (adjusted): 1989 2009
Included observations: 21 after adjustments
Standard errors in ( ) & t-statistics in [ ]
Cointegrating Eq: CointEq1
LNXIAOFEI(-1) 1.000000
LNGUIMO(-1) -1.928213
(0.16489)
[-11.6940]
C -6.453420
Error Correction: D(LNXIAOFEI) D(LNGUIMO)
CointEq1 -0.148357 0.159198
(0.04293) (0.12171)
[-3.45606] [ 1.30799]
D(LNXIAOFEI(-1)) 0.826820 -1.103604
(0.21663) (0.61422)
[ 3.81671] [-1.79674]
D(LNXIAOFEI(-2)) 0.158371 -0.025564
(0.22996) (0.65202)
[ 0.68868] [-0.03921]
D(LNGUIMO(-1)) -0.016314 -0.334277
(0.12751) (0.36152)
[-0.12795] [-0.92464]
D(LNGUIMO(-2)) 0.151045 -0.134641
(0.10266) (0.29107)
[ 1.47134] [-0.46257]
C -0.009809 0.198684
(0.02746) (0.07785)
[-0.35723] [ 2.55205]
R-squared 0.852213 0.457051
Adj. R-squared 0.802951 0.276068
Sum sq. resids 0.016847 0.135433
S.E. equation 0.033513 0.095020
F-statistic 17.29949 2.525379
Log likelihood 45.04756 23.16217
Akaike AIC -3.718815 -1.634493
Schwarz SC -3.420380 -1.336058
Mean dependent 0.101219 0.056459
S.D. dependent 0.075496 0.111678
Determinant resid covariance (dof adj.) 8.51E-06
Determinant resid covariance 4.34E-06
Log likelihood 70.05012
Akaike information criterion -5.338106
Schwarz criterion -4.641758