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A Chinese financial crisis would not only trigger a domesticeconomic crash, but also deliver yet another shock to the U.S., Japanese, andEuropean economies. In the article, our Partner John Jullens explains thatlow-probability, high-impact events, such as a domestic economic crash inChina, can be catastrophic for companies doing business in Chinese market, oreven for the rest of the world.
China could very well be the mother ofall “black swans” due to its exceptionally large size and increasinginterconnectivity with other parts of the world. Unfortunately, fewcorporate enterprise risk management (ERM) departments have the resources orlocal understanding to contain a true black swan event in China. To tackle withthis problem, Mr. Jullens provided a 3-step process for the risk managementdepartment to better prepare themselves from such risks: map the extendedenterprise, create a disrupter list and run “what-if” scenarios, and developcontingency plans.
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