China at the crossroads 7
Beijing vs. local governments:
it’s getting more complicated 9
China’s contradictions and
stress points 11
Macro-micro disconnect 14
High growth vs. low returns 16
Excess liquidity vs. credit crunch 17
Slow growth vs. strong RMB and high rates 18
Urbanisation: looking beyond
the obvious 20
Who pays for it? 20
A host of related issues 22
Why over-ambition leads to
oversupply 28
A state of loss 28
Beijing acts 31
Boom town blues 31
You’ve got competition 33
The good news: infrastructure, scale, logistics and brains 39
Go West: up to a point 40
A new growth engine 40
Challenges 44
Rail: a growth anchor 47
A new beginning 47
Growth and debt 48
How the system works 52
Local government hierarchy 52
Provinces 55
Eastern Region 56
Beijing (北京) 57
Fujian (福建) 62
Guangdong (广东) 66
Hainan (海南) 71
Hebei (河北) 75
Jiangsu (江苏) 79
Shandong (山东) 84
Shanghai (上海) 88
Tianjin (天津) 93
Zhejiang (浙江) 97
Western Region 101
Chongqing (重庆) 103
Gansu (甘肃) 108
Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (广西) 112
Guizhou (贵州) 116
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