Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice (Academic Press Advanced Finance) (Hardcover)
by Jean-Paul Chavas (Author)

Hardcover: 247 pages

Publisher: Academic Press; 1 edition (June 4, 2004)

Language: English

Review
"Risk is at the very core of most decisions. This text beautifully explores the classical theory of choices under uncertainty including major applications and recent extensions. It combines usefulness, thoroughness, and clarity."
-- Christian Gollier, Professor of Economics, University of Toulouse

"This masterful book provides a rigorous, accessible and wide ranging treatment of the key concepts and tools."
Christopher B. Barrett, Professor, Department of Applied Economics and Management, Cornell University

Book Description
The objective of this book is to present this analytical framework and to illustrate how it can be used in the investigation of economic decisions under risk. In a sense, the economics of risk is a difficult subject: it involves understanding human decisions in the absence of perfect information. How do we make decisions when we do not know some of events affecting us? The complexities of our uncertain world and of how humans obtain and process information make this difficult. In spite of these difficulties, much progress has been made. First, probability theory is the corner stone of risk assessment. This allows us to measure risk in a fashion that can be communicated among decision makers or researchers. Second, risk preferences are now better understood. This provides useful insights into the economic rationality of decision making under uncertainty. Third, over the last decades, good insights have been developed about the value of information. This helps better understand the role of information in human decision making and this book provides a systematic treatment of these issues in the context of both private and public decisions under uncertainty.

* Balanced treatment of conceptual models and applied analysis
* Considers both private and public decisions under uncertainty
* Website presents application exercises in EXCEL

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Contents
Chapter 1
Introduction 1
Chapter 2
The Measurement of Risk 5
Chapter 3
The Expected Utility Model 21
Chapter 4
The Nature of Risk Preferences 31
Chapter 5
Stochastic Dominance 53
Chapter 6
Mean-Variance Analysis 69
Chapter 7
Alternative Models of Risk Behavior 79
Chapter 8
Production Decisions Under Risk 95
Chapter 9
Portfolio Selection 123
Chapter 10
Dynamic Decisions Under Risk 139
Chapter 11
Contract and Policy Design Under Risk 161
Chapter 12
Contract and Policy Design
Under Risk: Applications 183
Chapter 13
Market Stabilization 201
Appendix A: Probability and Statistics 209
Appendix B: Optimization 221
Index 237