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2008-03-06

想请教大家,国际收支盈余(赤字)、利率与国际利率的差额、汇率变化 以及 资本流入/流出方向 之间有什么联系?

我一直未能够想明白它们的明确关系,故问之。

望各位指点。

谢谢。

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2008-3-10 18:44:00

When your interest raise, your currency will be more attrative, demand for your currency increase, given floating ex-rate, price of yr currency raise, i.e. Appreciation against other currency.

Besides, as the boom of financial market, capital inflow, which is equalivent to a raise in demand for your currency, also may lead to the same result.

under floating ex-rate, the BOP is always in balance because the ex-rate will adjust for any excess demand and supply for the currency.

however,if there is linked/fixed ex-rate, BOP surplus means that the currency is under-valued, which may impose a upward pressure of the currency price.

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