跨国并购投资回报率的计量分析解释
【英文论文】
Cross-Border Acquisitions and Insider Ownership
Mattias Hamberg
Conny Overland
Björn Lantz
Abstract
Several studies document that the bid announcement return (BAR) of cross-border acquisitions is
lower than that of domestic acquisitions. We use uniquely detailed ownership data to examine
how insider information and bid trustworthiness affects the BAR. While cross-border acquisitions
yield lower returns this effect disappears as we adjust for the degree of insider information and
bid trustworthiness caused by pre-bid ownership. Investors do not unconditionally dislike crossborder
acquisitions, but foreign acquirers are more often outsiders that are at a comparative
disadvantage when judging the value of synergies.
【中文PPT详解】
一些研究分析指出:跨国收购的招标公告回报(Bid Announcement Return,BAR)低于国内收购。
文章通过详实的所有权相关数据(Ownership Data)来检验:
①局内人信息(Insider Information)
②投标可信度(Bid Trustworthiness)
是如何影响BAR的。
尽管从数据上看,跨国收购产生的回报率较国内收购较低,我们发现,当调整以上两点(即在回归模型中控制代表这两点的变量)时,这一低回报效应便消失了。
结论:投资者并非无条件地不喜欢跨国收购,其回报率较低的原因是国外收购者通常更有可能是“局外人”(Outsider),从而在评估收购后的协同价值(value of synergy)时处于相对劣势的地位。
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