没学过滞后变量模型 请问这个结果的经济意义怎么分析啊 急求去
Dependent Variable: SER02
Method: Least Squares
Date: 05/19/14 Time: 19:36
Sample (adjusted): 2010M04 2012M12
Included observations: 33 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.485812 2.552666 0.190316 0.8504
PDL01 0.686741 1.066780 0.643752 0.5248
PDL02 0.366804 1.154622 0.317683 0.7530
PDL03 -0.173421 1.056721 -0.164113 0.8708
R-squared 0.408975 Mean dependent var 11.49101
Adjusted R-squared 0.347835 S.D. dependent var 0.260254
S.E. of regression 0.210173 Akaike info criterion -0.168563
Sum squared resid 1.281003 Schwarz criterion 0.012832
Log likelihood 6.781291 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.107529
F-statistic 6.689113 Durbin-Watson stat 1.265012
Prob(F-statistic) 0.001436
Lag Distribution of SER01 i Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic
. * | 0 0.14652 1.30406 0.11235
. * | 1 0.68674 1.06678 0.64375
. *| 2 0.88012 1.05943 0.83075
. * | 3 0.72666 1.31921 0.55083
Sum of Lags 2.44004 0.56562 4.31391