英文文献：Spatial Persistence of Demographic Shocks and Economic Growth-人口冲击和经济增长的空间持续性
英文文献作者：Théophile Azomahou,Claude Diebolt,Tapas Mishra
英文文献摘要：
This paper studies how the spatial effects of demographic system affects economic growth of different countries. Population growth shocks (whether in aggregate or in disaggregate form) in general have spatial movement that is deemed to contribute to economic growth fluctuations depending upon their convergence properties to the long-run level. By constructing a ‘demographic distance’ function based on both average age-shares and their stochastic time series characteristics, we show that persistence of spatial demographic system has had discernible effects on economic growth of Asia, Europe, Africa, and Latin America and Offshore countries in the last four decades. While the temporal study of demographic system on economic growth fluctuations is getting popularity, this paper goes a step further to explain persistence properties of economic growth by embedding temporal features by studying a spatial VAR model of demography and economic growth.

本文研究了人口系统的空间效应如何影响不同国家的经济增长。人口增长冲击(无论是总体的还是非总体的)通常具有空间移动，视其长期收敛性而定，这些空间移动被认为有助于经济增长波动。通过构建一个基于平均年龄份额及其随机时间序列特征的“人口距离”函数，我们表明，空间人口系统的持久性在过去40年里对亚洲、欧洲、非洲、拉丁美洲和离岸国家的经济增长产生了可识别的影响。在人口系统对经济增长波动的时间研究日益普及的同时，本文通过研究人口与经济增长的空间VAR模型，进一步通过嵌入时间特征来解释经济增长的持久性。