Implications of Higher Global Food Prices for Poverty in Low-Income Countries
发表机构:The World Bank 发表日期:April 2008
格式:PDF 页码:57
Abstract
In many poor countries, the recent increases in prices of
staple foods raise the real incomes of those selling food,
many of whom are relatively poor, while hurting net food
consumers, many of whom are also relatively poor. The
impacts on poverty will certainly be very diverse, but the
average impact on poverty depends upon the balance
between these two effects, and can only be determined
by looking at real-world data. Results using household data for ten observations on nine low-income countries
show that the short-run impacts of higher staple food
prices on poverty differ considerably by commodity and
by country, but, that poverty increases are much more
frequent, and larger, than poverty reductions. The recent
large increases in food prices appear likely to raise overall
poverty in low income countries substantially.