绝对物有所值

   Contents

   Foreword      1

   Executive summary     4

   Section One  Oil supply and demand outlook to 2030   14

   Section Two  Oil downstream outlook to 2030    126
 

   Footnotes      188

   Annexes     192

   Section One  Oil supply and demand outlook to 2030
 

   Chapter 1  The reference case: key results   17
   Main assumptions     17
  World primary energy supply   25
  Oil demand     32
  Oil supply     36
  Upstream investment    41
  CO2 emissions     43
   Comparisons of projections     48

   Chapter 2   Demand by sector     53
   Transportation sector     53
   Other sectors      66
  Demand by product     72

   Chapter 3  Oil supply      77
  Medium-term non-OPEC crude and NGLs supply  77
  Long-term non-OPEC crude and NGLs supply    80
   Non-conventional oil     84
   Biofuels     86
   OPEC upstream investment activity    91

   Chapter 4   Implications of energy policies    93
  New US CAFE standards    93
  New Renewable Fuels Standard in the US    97
   EU Package of Climate Change and Renewable Energy Measures   99
   Combined impacts of US and EU energy policies    105

   Chapter 5   Investing in a climate of uncertainty    109

   Chapter 6   Investment challenges     117

   Section Two   Oil downstream outlook to 2030 

   Chapter 7  Medium-term outlook for the reining sector    129
   Review and assessment of existing projects    130
   Distillation capacity additions     137
   Conversion and desulphurization capacity additions   138

   Chapter 8  Long-term outlook    147
   Distillation capacity     147
   Secondary processes     150

   Chapter 9  Downstream investment requirements    163

   Chapter 10  Oil movements     169
   Crude oil      170
   Products      174
  Tanker capacity      177

   Chapter 11   Downstream challenges    181

   Footnotes      188

   Annex A       192
   Abbreviations

   Annex B      198
   OPEC World Energy Model (OWEM): deinitions of regions

   Annex C      206
   World Oil Reining Logistic Demand (WORLD) model: deinitions of regions

   Annex D      214
  Major data sources

 

 

[此贴子已经被angelboy于2008-8-25 10:31:23编辑过]