黄和霞 发表于 2015-2-9 11:22 
请教楼主:你发的这些分析这是否意味着:
1 人民币兑美元汇率会持续下跌?
2 国内物价会一定程度的持续上 ...
Someone says cash is the blood of finance,
I assume it is confidence, confidence in our nation's tomorrow.
On the one hand, economy has to grow, otherwise the chance of unrest will increase.
Which vehicle is strong enough to bear burden? how long is it going to last?
Promising ROI increases our exchange rate.
On the other hand, we have to facilitate our neighbors to keep their luxury living style.
Their big stomach will keep our streamline busy.
In order to keep the loop close, we have to keep exchange rate low.
It is a art of balance.
We need courage and wisdom.
The negative gap, the adjusted growth rate and new banking industry policy have strong correlation.
The answer for your 1st question depends on the upper tendency.
You may know the answer for your 2nd question now.
Take a look at CPI index please.
Normally speaking, inflation is unavoidable. At suitable level, not bad.
Simply my understanding.
I hope it helps.