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2015-03-01
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no3621 查看完整内容

of course underestimate. 99% VaR can be understood by worst lose result when u simulate 100 times. Thus, here we can regard the question as 500 times simulating. If the 99% VaR is fair, then we should have 5 days which loses over 1. Actually, here we have 7, which can be interpreted as 98.6% VaR @ 1, or 99% VaR @ over 1.
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2015-3-1 22:16:06
of course underestimate.

99% VaR can be understood by worst lose result when u simulate 100 times.

Thus, here we can regard the question as 500 times simulating. If the 99% VaR is fair, then we should have 5 days which loses over 1. Actually, here we have 7, which can be interpreted as 98.6% VaR @ 1, or 99% VaR @ over 1.

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