fit=auto.arima(sj[,1])
fsj=forecast(fit,h=10)
summary(fsj)
Forecasts:
Point Forecast Lo 80 Hi 80 Lo 95 Hi 95
301 2355.32 2320.479 2390.161 2302.035 2408.605
302 2355.32 2306.047 2404.593 2279.963 2430.677
303 2355.32 2294.973 2415.667 2263.027 2447.613
304 2355.32 2285.637 2425.003 2248.749 2461.891
305 2355.32 2277.412 2433.228 2236.170 2474.470
306 2355.32 2269.976 2440.664 2224.798 2485.842
307 2355.32 2263.138 2447.502 2214.340 2496.300
308 2355.32 2256.773 2453.867 2204.606 2506.034
309 2355.32 2250.796 2459.844 2195.464 2515.176
310 2355.32 2245.142 2465.498 2186.817 2523.823
为什么10天的预测值都是一样的?