众位高手,本人是stata菜鸟,在用stata的xtabond2命令估计GMM面板数据的过程如下:
xtabond2 lny lnk lnl lninstitute lnimport lnexport year if year<1998, gmm(lnk lnl lninstitute lnimport lnexport) iv(yea
> r) small orthogonal artests(1)
Favoring space over speed. To switch, type or click on mata: mata set matafavor speed, perm.
Warning: Number of instruments may be large relative to number of observations.
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step system GMM
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Group variable: region Number of obs = 560
Time variable : year Number of groups = 28
Number of instruments = 502 Obs per group: min = 20
F(6, 553) = 2658.12 avg = 20.00
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 20
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lny | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
lnk | .6355087 .031301 20.30 0.000 .5740253 .6969921
lnl | .4814072 .0281808 17.08 0.000 .4260526 .5367618
lninstitute | .1667329 .0271387 6.14 0.000 .1134253 .2200405
lnimport | .0876987 .0133275 6.58 0.000 .0615199 .1138775
lnexport | .0019433 .0116698 0.17 0.868 -.0209793 .0248659
year | .024268 .0034393 7.06 0.000 .0175123 .0310238
_cons | -48.97727 6.834111 -7.17 0.000 -62.40126 -35.55327
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Instruments for orthogonal deviations equation
Standard
D.(year)
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L(1/.).(lnk lnl lninstitute lnimport lnexport)
Instruments for levels equation
Standard
_cons
year
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
D.(lnk lnl lninstitute lnimport lnexport)
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Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = 2.50 Pr > z = 0.012
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Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(495) = 968.86 Prob > chi2 = 0.000
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Difference-in-Sargan tests of exogeneity of instrument subsets:
GMM instruments for levels
Sargan test excluding group: chi2(443) = 308.72 Prob > chi2 = 1.000
Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(52) = 660.13 Prob > chi2 = 0.000
iv(year)
Sargan test excluding group: chi2(494) = 967.45 Prob > chi2 = 0.000
Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(1) = 1.41 Prob > chi2 = 0.235
问题1:上述估计结果的可靠性如何?还存在什么问题?
问题2:当我进一步增加滞后变量时,却出现这样的提示"not sorted", 这又是什么原因?估计命令如下:
xtabond2 lny l.lny l(0/1).( lnk lnl lninstitute lnimport lnexport infra) year if year<1998, gmm(l.lny l(0/1).(lnk lnl l
> ninstitute lnimport lnexport infra)) iv(year) small orthogonal artests(1)
not sorted
r(5);
请问,出现“not sorted”是什么原因?怎么才那克服?
谢谢给位高手!!!