Contents

Preface ix
Acknowledgments xi
Foreword by Campbell R. Harvey xiii
1 Introduction 1
1.1 An historical perspective 1
1.2 Outline of the book 4
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11.3.3 Think-tanks and risk analysis companies 241
11.4 Conclusion 243
Appendix: External debt, official information sources 244
References 245
Glossary 247
Index 265