【作者(必填)】Richard K. Herrmann，Jong Kun Choi
【文题(必填)】From Prediction to Learning: Opening Experts' Minds to Unfolding History

【年份(必填)】Spring 2007, Vol. 31, No. 4, Pages 132-161

【全文链接或数据库名称(选填)】International Security
http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/isec.2007.31.4.132#.VyFuK-yEAYg