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论坛 休闲区 十二区 休闲灌水 IDEAS/RePEc 排名
304 0
2005-10-22
英文文献:Forecasting Daily Volatility Using Range-Based Data
英文文献作者:Wang, Yuanfang,Roberts, Matthew C.
英文文献摘要:
Users of agricultural markets frequently need to establish accurate representations of expected future volatility. The fact that range-based volatility estimators are highly efficient has been acknowledged in the literature. However, it is not clear whether using range-based data leads to better risk management decisions. This paper compares the performance of GARCH models, range-based GARCH models, and log-range based ARMA models in terms of their forecasting abilities. The realized volatility will be used as the forecasting evaluation criteria. The conclusion helps establish an efficient forecasting framework for volatility models.
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