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2005-10-31
英文文献:The supply response of U.S. rice: how decoupled are income payments?-美国大米供应的反应:收入支付是如何脱钩的?这项研究考察了直接支付和反周期支付的脱钩性质,以确定它们是否会对美国水稻收获面积产生影响
英文文献作者:Beckman, Jayson F.,Wailes, Eric J.
英文文献摘要:
This study examines the decoupled nature of direct payments and counter-cyclical payments to determine if they have an impact on U.S. rice area harvested. A na?ve expectations model was specified, with the results indicating that direct payments are decoupled; however, counter-cyclical are not. Overall, the results indicate that a change in the expected gross margin or counter-cyclical payments would stimulate a supply response in rice production. The lack of a significant amount of time-series data renders results of this analysis as preliminary.

提出了一个天真的预期模型,其结果表明直接支付是解耦的;然而,反周期则不然。总体而言,结果表明,预期毛利率或反周期支付的变化将刺激水稻生产的供应反应。由于缺乏大量的时间序列数据,这项分析的结果只是初步的。
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