Macquarie 5 月 16 日长篇,77页。
Labour force growth:The US is better positioned than Europe,Japan and even China.Nonetheless,even assuming an aggressive rebound in the core working age(25-54 year old)participation rate,just ~120,000 jobs per month will be necessary to keep US unemployment stable in 2017.This pace decelerates to just ~45,000K jobs per month in 2020.The aging demographic profile means underlying US labour force growth is likely to be just ~0.4% long-term.