Princeton University Press
2003 by Robert J. Shiller

Part One: Economic Risks in an Advancing World
one What the World Might Have Looked Like since 1950 21
two The Hidden Problem of Economic Risk 32
three Why New Technology Creates Risks 46
four Forty Thieves: The Many Kinds of Economic Risks 58
Part Two: How Science and Technology Create New Opportunities in Finance
five New Information Technology Applied to Risk Management 69
six The Science of Psychology Applied to Risk  Management 82
seven The Nature of Invention in Finance 99
Part Three: Six Ideas for a New Financial Order
eight   Insurance for Livelihoods and Home Values 107
nine    Macro Markets: Trading the Biggest Risks 121
ten      Income-Linked Loans: Reducing the Risks of Hardship and Bankruptcy 139
eleven     Inequality Insurance: Protecting the Distribution of Income 149
twelve       Intergenerational Social Security: Sharing Risks between Young and Old 165
thirteen I    nternational Agreements for Risk Control 175
Part Four: Deploying the New Financial Order
fourteen           Global Risk Information Databases 189
fifteen              New Units of Measurement and Electronic Money 202
sixteen             Making the Ideas Work: Research and Advocacy 222
Part Five: The New Financial Order as a Continuation of a Historical Process
seventeen      Lessons from Major Financial Inventions 231
eighteen         Lessons from Major Social Insurance Inventions 245
epilogue        A Model of Radical Financial Innovation 269
Notes 277
References 325
Index 351

罗伯特·希勒（Robert J. Shiller），耶鲁大学斯坦利·里索（Stanley B. Resor）经济学教授。他先后撰写了《金融新秩序：管理21世纪的风险》（The New Financial Order：Risk in the 21st Century）、《市场波动》（Market Volatility）、《宏观市场》（Macro Markets）等著名经济学著作。其中《宏观市场》一书获1996年度保罗·萨缪尔森奖。