【名称及出版时间】:建筑工程行业深度报告-091203
【来源】:国信证券
【文件格式】:PDF
【页数】:36
【内容提要】:
投资马车持续提速,前期增量驱动建筑业总产值加速增长...........................................8
投资马车持续提速,宏观经济结束寻底...............................................................8
新建项目“数额”双升,FAI拉动效应仍将持续...................................................8
地方投资与中央投资增速差加大,FAI全面开花...................................................9
实际投资拉动乘数持续走低,FAI结构传导尚未完全体现...................................10
建筑工程行业云开雾散,如期复苏.............................................................................12
2Q09起行业可比上市公司经营效益走出底部....................................................12
行业云开雾散,如期复苏...................................................................................12
房建行业如期复苏,基建热潮仍将持续 .....................................................................14
房屋建筑业如期复苏,长期增长空间广阔..........................................................14
铁路建设投资翘尾效应渐弱...............................................................................16
交通FAI略超规划,公路建设单月投资增速如期回落..........................................17
水运建设“外冷内热”依然明显........................................................................18
水利建设持续加速增长......................................................................................19
海外市场稳步拓展 .............................................................................................20
成本压力持续缓解,利润提升如期体现 .....................................................................21
建材价格水平保持低位......................................................................................21
建筑施工企业成本压力持续缓解........................................................................22
利润提升自2Q09开始体现,短期空间仍存......................................................22
行业投资评级及策略建议...........................................................................................23
维持行业“谨慎推荐”评级...............................................................................23
把握三条投资主线,配置重点公司 ....................................................................24
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